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2011 NFL Scouting Combine: Dynasty Stock Watch

Lots of player value movement over a weekend skill position analysis

They say that lots of money can be made on Scouting Combine weekend.  While some players are just trying to maintain their high upside status, others are trying to get their name out there.  As always, be on the lookout for the "workout wonders" of the Combine as player measurables aren't the only key to success at the next level.  Other factors including college performance, measurables, football IQ and future projection are all very important when applying a Dynasty Draft Grade to the prospects. Inside we will take a look at the Dynasty stock of some of the top performances at the Combine, as well as some of the disappointing ones.

Dynasty Stock up

QB Jake Locker: No one needed a better workout than Locker, whose stock plummeted this season after being considered the #1 pick in last’s year draft.  He impressed with the drills, but most importantly he also threw the ball with better accuracy at the Combine. Locker just might have snuck his way back into the first round in the draft and even if he does not, he's resusitated his stock nonetheless. A highly touted baseball prospect, he does have a fallback option in case there is a prolonged lockout, but it does not appear that he would explore that as he is smartly showing his commitment to football. Very much a high risk, high reward fantasy prospect.

QB Ryan Mallett: After a rough start to combine in failing to talk about his past drug addiction allegations, Mallet finished strong with a good workout in all of his throwing drills, and team interviews. Mallett seems to be a 1st or 2nd round pick because of his great upside and rocket for an arm. Accuracy issues are not easily fixed and that could end up being his Achilles heal.  One of the few true pocket passers of the top QB prospects.

QB Christian Ponder: After a rough 2009 season, Ponder came back this year to win the MVP of the senior bowl as well as impress at the combine. He has arguably done the best in the passing and accuracy drills of all QB’s. He very well could be 1st round material. A true west coast passer makes Ponder a nice fantasy prospect.

TE Virgil Green: The undersized tight end, Green has his stock skyrocketing this weekend. With an impressive vertical jump and 40 time, Green has the physical skills to be a threat in the passing game, but his size will prevent him from being an every down TE. Dynasty owners should watch him closely.

RB Jordan Todman: Not a big play power back, Todman looked explosive during his workout at the Combine. His quickness (4.40 40 time) and versatility, along with his competitiveness will likely get him taken in the 2nd or 3rd round. He has definite upside as a change of pace type. 

RB Roy Helu Jr:  The undersized RB’s stock has been rising ever since the season ended.  A solid last two seasons at Nebraska showed his ability to break away from tacklers. His combine results impressed, he was a lot faster than scouts thought and could be a nice steal for a team on draft day.

WR Leonard Hankerson: Although not a household name in this draft, The Miami hurricane WR, posted a great 40 score and explosiveness in the drills. His solid senior season, and his knack to find the end zone and his ideal size can possibly make a first or second round pick.

WR Edmund Gates: The small school prospect showed blazing speed and agility at the combine. His stock is rising up, and shows flashes of Devin Hester as he can score on any given play. Gates can be a nice value in the 3rd or 4th rounds in the draft.

WR Ricardo Lockette: We had never heard of him until he blasted on the scene this weekend.  A small school prospect out of Fort Valley State, Lockette may be nothing more than a workout wonder, however he's caught our eye for Draft Season.  

Dynasty Stock Neutral

WR AJ Green: A potential top 5 pick, WR Green did very well at the combine. He showed his quickness and explosiveness in the drills, and ran exceptionally well in his pass catching drills. His stock has not changed, as he can be a nice prospect the next few years for dynasty owners.

WR Julio Jones: Jones had the most impressive combine of anyone even WR counterpart AJ Green. He dazzled in his 40 time and route running. He caught everything that came his way in the passing drills all with a broken foot. His great upside and catching ability will get him drafted early to mid 1st round, but the injury will keep him on the shelf for a month or two, which should not hurt his value. Known to play through injuries during his tenure at Alabama makes Jones a nice prospect.

RB Mark Ingram: The undersized bulldozer entered the combine looking to solidify himself as the first RB off the board. He did not showcase blazing speed, but that is not his game. He showed explosiveness off the line and his willingness as a blocker give him every down potential. The 2009 Heisman Trophy winner can be a nice dynasty prospect on just about any team that might draft him. 

QB Blaine Gabbert: Projected by some to be the first of the QB’s off the board in next month’s draft, Gabbert decided not to throw at the combine. This should not hurt his stock since he will throw at his pro day instead. Gabbert’s nice upside and great performance the past two seasons at Missouri, will surely make him a top pick in the 1st round, and a nice prospect.  He's more athletic than he is given credit for.

Dynasty Stock Down

QB Ricky Stanzi: After a solid Senior Bowl, Stanzi struggled at the combine with his accuracy in his throwing drills and was very slow in his other drills.  Stanzi has good upside though, and he should still get drafted late in Day 2 or early in Day 3 because of his size and upside. He will have a chance to redeem himself on his pro day.

QB Cam Newton: We all knew Newton has the athletic ability to make plays, but he struggled in the most important drills at the Combine...passing.  His accuracy and timing was off in the drills completing only 11 for 21 passes. The media might have gotten to Cam as well, as his maturity was questioned too. Newton still should be a 1st round pick and possibly the 1st QB off the board because of a sky high ceiling, but he is very much a high-risk/high-reward prospect.

RB John Clay: Even after slimming down for the Combine to 230 lbs, Clay put it a horrid 40 time, and did not impress in any other drills. Clay had an impressive year at Wisconsin, which might get him drafted anyway. Either way, he seems destined for a fullback type role a la LeRon McClain. He's deep dynasty material, keep an eye on his pro day. 

TE Weslye Saunders: After having missed the past season due to a scandal, Saunders obviously had a ton of ground to make up. Just as he gets invited to the combine, he leaves with a foot injury. Saunder’s pro day is coming up, so he can boost his stock back up with a big time workout. His huge size makes him a nice target in the end zone, and could be of value in the later rounds in Day 2.

QB Jerrod Johnson: Johnson was erratic throwing the ball during the Combine. A shoulder injury kept him from being effective throughout the season, so his stock is slipping, however his great upside and arm strength show his potential. He is a raw prospect with upside and that will get him drafted more around Day 2 or 3 by a team that believes they can develop him into a suitable passer.

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