TwitterSticker.png    fb_sticker.png

2010 NFL Rookie Profiles: QB

A Dynasty look at the 2010 NFL Rookie Signal Callers

There are upwards of 10 NFL teams seeking out their future franchise QB. Many Dynasty league owners are doing the same. If you own an older Beast like Peyton Manning or Tom Brady, you can afford to draft a youngster and sit him for a few seasons as he learns the ropes. The instant returns of Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, Matt Stafford and to some extent Mark Sanchez has owners anxious for a young Dynasty cornerstone to call their own. This draft class, though quickly dismissed as pedestrian, is not without its long term potential. The patience of Dynasty owners is going to be tested because most of these QB's are not ready for NFL game action in 2010.

Weak. Lackluster. Just a few words used to describe the 2010 NFL QB Class.  Hard to believe with a group including two of the most decorated college football players ever!  While this may be an overall shallow QB group, a chance to produce two franchise type QB's and perhaps even a few other potential starters, the savvy Dynasty owner knows to take a close look at the top prospects. 


Sam Bradford


College: Oklahoma (3rd Year Junior)
Height - Weight: 6'4 236lbs
Player Comparison: Matt Schaub
Ideal Landing Spots: Washington Redskins - Despite his solid talent, he still needs time to develop into a franchise player.  Learning under Mike Shanahan in Washington would provide this opportunity
Comments:  After winning the Heisman as a red shirt sophomore in 2008, it was speculated heading into the 2009 NFL Draft that Sam Bradford could be the first QB off the board ahead of the likes of Matt Stafford, Mark Sanchez and Josh Freeman.  His decision to stay in college to play his Junior Season came with conflict following a severe season ending shoulder injury that required surgery in October of 2009.  Bradford quieted the concerns about his build (and ability to withstand an NFL beating) by showing up at the combine at a franchise quarterback stature.  He further improved his stock (and quieted the concerns about the overall health of his shoulder) following what has been deemed one of the top pro day performances ever. Bradford's situation is clearly an indication of how quickly we forget - as fans - about a players upside.  Bradford was a monster in his short stint as a Sooner throwing for an impressive 4,720 yards and 50 TD's in his sophomore year (2008).  He was consistently productive in his 31 starts while at Oklahoma establishing himself as one of the most accurate passers in college football history.  Bradford possesses every quality you look for in a franchise QB and has solidified himself as the top NFL QB prospect in this years class.  Despite his overall talent, and likelihood to be drafted #1 overall, he will still need some time to develop and a landing spot like Washington to learn under Mike Shanahan would boost his immediate Dynasty value.  A situation where he lands in St. Louis (where he will be forced to start and take a brutal beating) has the potential to delay his development.  Bradford is a high upside Dynasty QB, however a transition period should be expected and an immediate return on investment is unlikely.  Should he fall outside the Top-3 in your Dynasty Rookie Draft, he will be impossible to pass on despite your fantasy team needs.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Grade: Early 1st Round - Top 1-5 Selection


Jimmy Clausen

College:
 Notre Dame (3rd Year Junior)
Height - Weight: 6'3" 222 lbs
Player Comparison: Aaron Rodgers 
Ideal Landing Spots: Cleveland Browns
Comments: Clausen is quickly becoming a BeastOrBust.com favorite at the QB position.  His three years of pro-style quarterback experience under Charlie Weis at Notre Dame has us quite intrigued as the QB in this class most likely to succeed.  He improved each of his three years as a starter while at ND from both a statistical and decision making standpoint, increasing our confidence he can step in and immediately produce as a starter in the NFL.  Recovery from toe surgery has caused him to miss all Draft Season workouts, however his stock has remained steady despite not throwing.  His leadership qualities (specifically how his attitude is viewed by teammates) have been consistently questioned, however at the games most important position, a little intensity or cockiness never hurt anyone (go ask Dan Marino or Phillip Rivers).  His short throwing motion and low pass trajectory will come under scrutiny along with his overall deep ball arm strength.  We tend to like his hugely arching deep ball.   He is the Top 1 or 2 Dynasty QB and in the correct situation (established coaching staff) he can make an immediate impact on your Dynasty squad. However, like most rookie QB's, it will be some time before you can rely on him to win you fantasy games.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Grade: Late 1st Round Early 2nd - Top 7-12 Selection


Colt McCoy

College: Texas
Height - Weight: 6' 1" 216 lbs
Player Comparison: Kyle Orton - game manager with average arm strength.
Ideal Landing Spots: Oakland Raiders
Comments: Colt McCoy is this years poster boy for a the definition of a winning quarterback.  He is a high character individual that has dedicated himself to understanding and mastering his craft.  McCoy will make all the appropriate reads at the pre and post snap level and has solid athletic ability needed to stretch out a play or take off on his feet.  Unfortunately McCoy will lose some value with only average arm strength and less than ideal deep ball accuracy.  McCoy experienced one of the most dreadful situations in this years BCS National Championship Game, where a first quarter shoulder injury landed him on the sidelines in his final game as a Texas Longhorn.  McCoy will eventually get his shot at a starting job in the NFL and he should get the same on a Dynasty squad despite his overall limited upside.  In a time where every team is looking for a combination of size, speed and cannon for an arm, McCoy could be relegated to journeyman status known for his ability to win NFL games, but lacking the intangibles to be a statistical machine and "franchise" player.  Expect him to be a long term stable QB2/3 fantasy QB, however monitor his progress over the next few years and an improvement in the overall velocity to his fastball could land him in an entirely different Dynasty light.  He is worth a roll of the dice in the early to mid rounds of your Dynasty Rookie Draft.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Grade: Mid to Late 2nd Round - Top 13-17 Selection 

Tim Tebow

College: Florida (4th Year Senior)
Height - Weight: 6'3" 236 lbs
Player Comparison: Vince Young
Ideal Landing Spots: New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints
Comments: It is hard to imagine so much scrutiny surrounding one of the greatest collegiate football players ever and his ability to succeed at the next level.  Tebow has everything you look for in an NFL football player - especially at the Quarterback position - however, his ability to actually succeed at the next level will be questioned until we actually see him on the field as an NFL starter.  We like Tebow's competitiveness and willingness to work as hard as anyone. He struggles with accuracy, and even more so when asked to make multiple reads.  Additionally, his footwork lacks the efficiency to drop back from under center, further steepening his learning curve.  Arm strength is not an issue.  Expect him to sit for a couple years, and his success will be largely based on the situation he is drafted into.  There will definitely be a coaching staff that will become enamored with the opportunity to turn Tebow into a true NFL QB.  Should you decide to take Tebow in your upcoming Rookie Draft, be sure the situation on your Dynasty roster is appropriate as well.  He is undoubtedly one of the most talented football players in this years class and we are confident he will eventually serve as a valuable member of a Dynasty squad.  Keep in mind he could be overdrafted because of the value his name has. He is a true Dynasty roll of the Dice and should be treated that way when making Dynasty Draft decisions.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Grade: Late 1st Round to Mid 2nd Round - Top 15-20 Selection

Tony Pike

College: Cincinnati  (4th Year Senior)
Height - Weight: 6'6" 223 lbs
Player Comparison: Josh Johnson
Ideal Landing Spots: Arizona Cardinals
Comments: Tony Pike is developmental Dynasty prospect and should be targeted as a high upside reach player.  His rise to collegiate success marked by an impressive 48 TD to 17 INT ratio over the last two seasons can be somewhat attributed to the safe passing style of the Bearcats although he has the ability to read defenses and work through WR progressions.  He has shown to overcome injuries including a broken non-throwing forearm in his final two seasons however injuries remain a concern due to his slight build.  Pike has above average athleticism and is stronger than his height-weight ratio would suggest, however he needs to add another 10-15 lbs of muscle to withstand an NFL beating.  Pike's has an average to above average arm but he has a ways to go before finding a role on your Dynasty roster.  His stock has fallen some as he had a poor Combine performance where he attempted to make changes to the way he grips the football.  He went back to his old grip for his pro day and showed significant improvement.  He should be drafted to your Dynasty team only as a long term flier with solid upside.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Grade: 4th Round - Top 30-40 Selection

Dan LeFevour

College: Central Michigan (4 Year Starter)
Height - Weight: 6'3" 230 lbs
Player Comparison: Shaun Hill
Ideal Landing Spots: Seattle Seahawks
Comments: LeFevour is likely to fill the role as a perennial backup, however in the right situation and plenty of time to refine his skill set, he could develop into an average NFL starter.  LeFevour is an accurate passer boasting a four year completion percentage average of 66.4, capped by his season year at 69.7%.  These numbers may be somewhat inflated due to the spread offense he played from at Central Michigan.  He has excellent accuracy in short to intermediate routes however his deep ball is considered lacking.  He is a long term developmental prospect that should find a spot on a NFL roster purely because of his athleticism.  Not much Dynasty value at this point, but could develop into a useful prospect in QB-heavy leagues. Keep an eye on where he gets drafted.      
Dynasty Rookie Draft Grade: 4th Round - Top 40-50 Selection

Mike Kafka (Northwestern) - A nice blend of size, athleticism and intelligence should land him on an NFL squad in the middle rounds of the NFL Draft.  With only adequate arm strength and a meager 7.0 yard per attempt out of a spread offense he will likely fall off many draft boards.  A team however that decides he is worth developing over the next few years may be stealing a solid future talent.  If he lands in the right situation he is worth keeping on your Dynasty radar for the next couple of years.

Jonathan Crompton (Tennessee) - Long term developmental prospect likely to serve as a perennial backup.  Showed great perseverance playing within multiple offensive programs at Tennessee.  Can make every throw and worth a flier if drafted into a stable situation conducive to development.  Another player to monitor over the next couple seasons.

John Skelton (Fordham) 
- At 6'6" 243 lbs a team will look to add the cannon armed Skelton to their roster as a high upside developmental player.  Hi is known for his overall altheticisim and his proficiency for the huge game where he threw for over 300 yards eight of 11 times and also had 4 400+ yard games.  He needs to be refined, but we like his overall upside in time.

Sean Canfield (Oregon State) - Canfield is another long term QB prospects in this class.  Battling competition and minor injuries, he eventually emerged in his Senior year passing for 67.1% 3,721 yards, 21 TD's and 7 INT's.  His background playing in a pro-style offense gives him an edge to make the transition to the Sunday league.

Jevan Snead (Mississippi) - Snead is a player that never quite lived up to the hype train, tending to go on hot and cold streaks through his collegiate career.  He has adequate arm strength, but struggles with accuracy and decision making.  Snead has a long way to go before finding a role on the football field in the NFL.  A team could take a long shot on him with hopes of developing him into a decent backup.


View our other 2010 NFL Draft Profiles - RB - WR - TE